Impact of energy transformation on China’s greenhouse effect under carbon peak and carbon neutral targets

The greenhouse effect is a global warming (GW) phenomenon caused by human activities. Therefore, it has become concern to reduce gas emissions and control climate warming. This article aims study howto analyze the impact of ET (Energy Transformation) on China?s based Stochastic Impacts Regulation Population, Affluence, Technology (STIRPAT) model, comb current situation trends carbon (for convenience following text, emission abbreviated as CE) in China. focus this effect, which whether can effectively intensity rate temperature rise China with existing energy structure industrial unchanged. analyzed scale CEs from 1995 2020, understood that during period 2003-2012, grew very rapidly. In reached 10.273 billion tons. addition, through analysis prediction under three different scenarios, found baseline scenario, future would continue grow. Under planning was expected CE reach 137,541 million tons 143,817 respectively 2030 2060. regulatory peak then show downward trend. 2050, begin maintain balance, also be significantly reduced.